ТЕМА: Холдем 6+ подсчет эквити с учетом фолд-эквити

Решил написать отдельный пост. Раз мы теперь знаем, что вся разница в парах, то давай посчитаем вероятность выхода на борд короля или туза и не выхода при этом дамы.
Всего бордов = С(5,32) = 201 376. Дам осталось 2. Значит бордов без дам = С(5,30) = 142 506. Из 30 карт (дамы не выходят) королей и тузов осталось 6.
Значит всего бордов без них будет С(5,24) = 42 504. Значит с ними, но без дам будет 142 506 - 42504 = 100 002.
Вероятность победы АсКс над QcQd = 100 002 / 201 376 = 49.66%. К моему числу существенно ближе, чем к твоему.

AcKc vs QdQc

1, board = 6c hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 15975, tie = 353, lost = 15137 Equity = 51.332%
2, board = 7c hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 15975, tie = 353, lost = 15137 Equity = 51.332%
3, board = 8c hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 15787, tie = 353, lost = 15325 Equity = 50.734%
4, board = 9c hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 15527, tie = 353, lost = 15585 Equity = 49.908%
5, board = Tc hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 14399, tie = 192, lost = 16874 Equity = 46.067%
6, board = Jc hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 14588, tie = 3, lost = 16874 Equity = 46.367%
7, board = 6d hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13544, tie = 412, lost = 17509 Equity = 43.699%
8, board = 7d hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13544, tie = 412, lost = 17509 Equity = 43.699%
9, board = 8d hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13367, tie = 412, lost = 17686 Equity = 43.137%
10, board = 9d hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13091, tie = 412, lost = 17962 Equity = 42.260%
11, board = Td hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 11859, tie = 234, lost = 19372 Equity = 38.061%
12, board = Jd hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 12089, tie = 3, lost = 19373 Equity = 38.425%
13, board = Kd hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 19294, tie = 0, lost = 12171 Equity = 61.319%
14, board = Ad hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 22318, tie = 237, lost = 8910 Equity = 71.306%
15, board = 6h hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13992, tie = 501, lost = 16972 Equity = 45.265%
16, board = 7h hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13992, tie = 501, lost = 16972 Equity = 45.265%
17, board = 8h hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13805, tie = 501, lost = 17159 Equity = 44.670%
18, board = 9h hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13521, tie = 501, lost = 17443 Equity = 43.768%
19, board = Th hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 12235, tie = 314, lost = 18916 Equity = 39.383%
20, board = Jh hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 12476, tie = 73, lost = 18916 Equity = 39.766%
21, board = Qh hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 1213, tie = 70, lost = 30182 Equity = 3.966%
22, board = Kh hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 19785, tie = 70, lost = 11610 Equity = 62.991%
23, board = Ah hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 22950, tie = 317, lost = 8198 Equity = 73.442%
24, board = 6s hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13992, tie = 501, lost = 16972 Equity = 45.265%
25, board = 7s hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13992, tie = 501, lost = 16972 Equity = 45.265%
26, board = 8s hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13805, tie = 501, lost = 17159 Equity = 44.670%
27, board = 9s hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13521, tie = 501, lost = 17443 Equity = 43.768%
28, board = Ts hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 12235, tie = 314, lost = 18916 Equity = 39.383%
29, board = Js hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 12476, tie = 73, lost = 18916 Equity = 39.766%
30, board = Qs hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 1213, tie = 70, lost = 30182 Equity = 3.966%
31, board = Ks hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 19785, tie = 70, lost = 11610 Equity = 62.991%
32, board = As hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 22950, tie = 317, lost = 8198 Equity = 73.442%

Не понятно, что брать, куча расхождений.

Я понял. У кого-то неверно берутся старшие кикеры при паре.
Щас ищу ошибку у себя.
Раз у тебя таких пар больше, ты правильно берешь старшие кикеры, а у меня похоже какие-то старшие кикеры не попадают и пара становится младше.

Снимаю шляпу и прошу прощения!
Нашел у себя ошибку.
При переделке алгоритма определения пары из полной 52-колоды в 36-колоду, не пойму как, но у меня стирался последний кикер. И получалось, что эта пара на последний кикер была младше самой себя, правильной. Потому и занижалась сила руки.

Еще раз прошу прощения!

AcKc vs QdQc

1, board = 6c hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 17263, tie = 353, lost = 13849 Equity = 55.425%
2, board = 7c hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 17263, tie = 353, lost = 13849 Equity = 55.425%
3, board = 8c hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 17075, tie = 353, lost = 14037 Equity = 54.828%
4, board = 9c hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 16493, tie = 353, lost = 14619 Equity = 52.978%
5, board = Tc hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 15526, tie = 192, lost = 15747 Equity = 49.649%
6, board = Jc hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 15715, tie = 3, lost = 15747 Equity = 49.949%
7, board = 6d hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 14960, tie = 412, lost = 16093 Equity = 48.200%
8, board = 7d hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 14960, tie = 412, lost = 16093 Equity = 48.200%
9, board = 8d hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 14783, tie = 412, lost = 16270 Equity = 47.637%
10, board = 9d hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 14153, tie = 412, lost = 16900 Equity = 45.635%
11, board = Td hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13098, tie = 234, lost = 18133 Equity = 41.999%
12, board = Jd hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13328, tie = 3, lost = 18134 Equity = 42.363%
13, board = Kd hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 21824, tie = 0, lost = 9641 Equity = 69.360%
14, board = Ad hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 22318, tie = 237, lost = 8910 Equity = 71.306%
15, board = 6h hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 15488, tie = 501, lost = 15476 Equity = 50.019%
16, board = 7h hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 15488, tie = 501, lost = 15476 Equity = 50.019%
17, board = 8h hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 15301, tie = 501, lost = 15663 Equity = 49.425%
18, board = 9h hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 14643, tie = 501, lost = 16321 Equity = 47.334%
19, board = Th hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13544, tie = 314, lost = 17607 Equity = 43.544%
20, board = Jh hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13785, tie = 73, lost = 17607 Equity = 43.927%
21, board = Qh hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 1213, tie = 70, lost = 30182 Equity = 3.966%
22, board = Kh hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 22436, tie = 70, lost = 8959 Equity = 71.416%
23, board = Ah hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 22950, tie = 317, lost = 8198 Equity = 73.442%
24, board = 6s hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 15488, tie = 501, lost = 15476 Equity = 50.019%
25, board = 7s hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 15488, tie = 501, lost = 15476 Equity = 50.019%
26, board = 8s hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 15301, tie = 501, lost = 15663 Equity = 49.425%
27, board = 9s hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 14643, tie = 501, lost = 16321 Equity = 47.334%
28, board = Ts hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13544, tie = 314, lost = 17607 Equity = 43.544%
29, board = Js hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 13785, tie = 73, lost = 17607 Equity = 43.927%
30, board = Qs hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 1213, tie = 70, lost = 30182 Equity = 3.966%
31, board = Ks hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 22436, tie = 70, lost = 8959 Equity = 71.416%
32, board = As hand = AcKc vs QdQc win = 22950, tie = 317, lost = 8198 Equity = 73.442%

ЗЫ. Вообще не понимаю, нахрена я в это место полез. Никакой разницы в определении силы 52к и 36к в этих вариантах нет.

Видел я этот калькулятор. Он считает по Монте-Карло. Каждый раз разные ответы.

Я рад, что мы разобрались!